Friday, April 26, 2024

CBN raises interest rates by 150 bps

. First increase since July 2016

Uba Group

The Central Bank of Nigeria has raised its benchmark interest rate for the first time in almost six years to curb accelerating inflation and boost portfolio inflows.

The monetary policy committee voted to hike the rate by 150 basis points to 13%, CBN Governor, Godwin Emefiele, said on Tuesday in a televised briefing in Abuja.

That’s the first increase since July 2016.

The move comes as the US Federal Reserve and European Central Bank adopt increasingly hawkish stances that have reduced the appeal of Nigerian assets to offshore investors, triggered capital outflows and currency weakness.

The naira’s depreciation, which is also being fueled by politicians stocking up on dollars before Nigeria’s primary elections, has added to inflation risks exacerbated by Russia’s war with Ukraine, extreme weather and pandemic-related supply-chain disruptions.

“While it may seem contradictory to raise rates in the face of fragile growth, it is a dilemma that most central banks around the world today are grappling with at this time,” Emefiele said. “On balance, it is quite clear and compelling that attacking inflation is more urgent in the sequence of policy objectives in this regard,” he added.

The MPC’s decision to hike was unanimous, with six members voting to raise by 150 basis points, four by 100 basis points and one by 50 basis points.

The yield on Nigeria’s 2047 Eurobonds fell almost four basis points to 11.565% after the announcement.

The increase comes after economic growth in Africa’s biggest economy slowed for a third consecutive quarter, expanding 3.1% in the three months through March, compared with 3.98% in the fourth quarter of 2021, according to data released by the National Bureau of Statistics.

The CBN sees the economy expanding 3.24% this year, unchanged from the last MPC meeting in March.

“Inflation, which hit an eight-month high of 16.8% in April, exceeding the top of the central bank’s 6% to 9% target band for almost seven years, is expected to trend upward,” Emefiele said.

While the rate increase may help prop up the naira and anchor inflation expectations, it’s likely to draw criticism from some politicians as the nation prepares to vote early next year and four in 10 Nigerians live below the poverty line.

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