Saturday, April 20, 2024

Naira redesign policy and the economic implications

I am often fascinated by Nigerian political history and development. At the height of the devastating Nigerian Civil war, in 1968 the government of the day changed the currency to suppress the secessionists. In January 1973, the government unilaterally decided to change from the metric to decimal and introduced Naira as our national currency. It is also on record that in 1984, the Military regime led by the then Major General Muhammad Buhari swiftly changed the colour of Naira notes under the pretext to “fight Corruption”.

It’s somewhat incredible that 50 years after the Naira was introduced as the legal tender of our national economy, an Agency of government would dare attempt to repeat the same old strategy. Having enunciated a brief historical perspective, it is imperative to note that for a number of years many Nigerians have failed to grasp how the Central Bank of Nigeria consistently controls our lives.

Firstly, they forced NIN on Nigerians and linked it to individual bank Accounts; they introduced POS (by the way, POS is an outdated model in Western world) and charged customers exorbitant fees; they also imposed internet banking on Nigerians.

“IN A NUTSHELL, THE NAIRA REDESIGN POLICY IS A DELIBERATE INTERFERENCE WITH THE FREE OPERATION OF MARKET FORCES. AS A CONSEQUENCE, MR. GODWIN EMEFIELE SHOULD BE SACKED AND ARRESTED ALONG WITH OTHER CBN SENIOR MANAGEMENT FOR THE CRIME OF ECONOMIC SABOTAGE.”

With the sudden and forceful introduction of the current new Naira notes; scarcity of Naira notes; and the adverse hardships inflicted, Nigerians need to realize that the role of Central Bank of Nigeria is not about economic management (i.e., trade and industry, revenue-generating activities, profitability) but rather as a “Lender of last resort”.
It is public knowledge that Emefiele has a penchant for acrimonious outbursts. The CBN Governor is on record for openly being peevish about the amount of money people keep in their domiciliary accounts. Prior to his irritable disposition, he attempted to raid people’s dormant accounts.

Where else in the world would you see a Central Bank governor openly talking about people’s private savings? So when Emefiele started his rambunctiousness about the trillions of Naira in people’s homes, we should hastily remind him that he is NOT an elected public office holder but a mere political appointee. So therefore, in light of the ongoing economic disruption we may not accord any respect to some so-called “patriotic” Nigerian(s) attempting to distract fellow citizens by calling the CBN Governor a “pawn, poodle and pimp”.

The CBN Governor is not the sole body of the Central Bank of Nigeria. The Central Bank of Nigeria is a national Institution, and Mr. Emefiele is simply the head of that Institution. In plain expression of clear understanding, the CBN Governor and any other public officials in our dear country are not some form of special human being and should be perceived, and treated, like anyone else.

Let me further articulate that the self-proclaimed “celebrity” CBN Governor should know that he cannot hide behind “Our Mandate” to inflict hardships, and aggravate pain, on fellow citizens. As much as we understand that the CBN is responsible for money supply and monetary control in Nigeria, it does not have the mandate to fight corruption.
The CBN is not a corruptionfighting agency. The Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) and the Independent Corrupt Practices and Other Related Offences Commission (ICPC) are both vested by law with the responsibility to fight corruption and other related offenses in Nigeria.

It is, therefore, perilous to see the CBN Governor make laughable arguments about his intention to curb corruption. How corruption-free is the CBN? Let’s progressively put things in an economic context. At the basic level, economics is concerned with the production, distribution, and consumption of goods and services. Money, by definition, is an acceptable means of exchange and a measure of value.

The conventional wisdom also dictates that microeconomics focuses on individuals, sectors and industries, that is, the micro units. On the other hand, macroeconomics is about the total sum of economic activity, dealing with issues of growth, inflation and unemployment.

In tackling these issues, monetary policy and fiscal policy (concerned with the various types of taxes and their effects upon individual and corporate activity) may be considered to drive growth and control inflation. This has direct implications for microeconomics.

The whole essence of all these concepts and principles is about how the micro-segments of the economy tend to make economic decisions, i.e.; the purchasing power parity and the propensity to spend or consume goods and services. The above globally accepted economic understanding distinctively shows how a country may function economically. The economic foundation of a nation is not built on individual personality or personalities; it is built up on a set of economic principles.

The prevailing argument, therefore, is that if a government (through its financial institutions) prevents its citizens from accessing their deposited funds, or capital, how would they be able to buy goods and services and help to grow the national economy? Is it not obvious that the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) which measures the overall size of the economy will be negatively affected? The CBN Governor needs to understand the basics i.e. the demand for many products in our country is markedly ‘income elastic’ meaning where the demand changes significantly with changes in income and in disposable purchasing power.

An understanding of this basic economic principle should have helped the CBN to implement seamless Naira redesign policy. The outcry and violent backlash across the country is a stark reminder of poor strategic decisions based on poor planning.

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