Without subsidy, petrol should be N750 per litre, says World Bank

  • NGX All-Share Index maintains bullish run, up by 0.55%, investors gain N214bn

BY FESTUS OKOROMADU, ABUJA

The World Bank has weighed in on the ongoing debate about fuel subsidies in Nigeria, stating that without government intervention, the petrol price should be around N750 per litre, not the current price of N650.

This was disclosed by the Lead Economist for the World Bank in Nigeria, Alex Sienaert, during his presentation on Wednesday in Abuja of the Nigeria Development Update, December 2023 edition, entitled “Turning The Corner (from reforms and renewed hope to results).”

During the hybrid event, he mentioned that fuel should cost N750 per litre according to today’s official exchange rate.

According to Sienaert, “If we estimate what is the cost reflective of retail PMS price of the would-be and assume that importation is done at the official FX rate, it does seem that petrol prices are not fully adjusting to market conditions so that hints at the partial return of the subsidy.

“Of course, the liberalisation is happening with the parallel rates, the main supplier. The price would be even higher. These are just estimates to give you a sense of what cost-reflective pricing most likely looks like.

“We think the petrol price should be around N750 per litre more than the N650 per litre currently paid by Nigerians.”

He emphasized that to ensure the government reaps the rewards of its audacious reforms, the bank advises it to take further actions.

The Petroleum and Natural Gas Senior Staff Association of Nigeria announced in October that the government was still paying subsidies on petrol due to the cost of crude oil in the international market and the exchange rate.

The National President of PENGASSAN, Festus Osifo, had said that due to the cost of crude oil in the international market and the exchange rate, the government still pays subsidies on petrol.

“They [government] are paying subsidies today. In reality, today, there is a subsidy because, as of when the earlier price was determined, the price of crude in the international market was around $80 for a barrel. But today, it has moved to about $93/94 per barrel for Brent crude. So, because it has moved, the price [of petroleum] also needed to move,” he said.

He said two things must happen before the government can stop subsidizing petroleum.

“The only reason the price will not move is when you can manage your exchange rate effectively, pump in supply, and bring down the exchange rate.

“If the exchange rate comes down today, we will not pay a subsidy. But with the exchange rate value and the price of crude oil in the international market, we have introduced a subsidy,” the PENGASSAN boss said.

NGX All-Share Index maintains bullish run, up 0.55%, investors gain N214bn

Nigerian equities delivered a positive performance on Wednesday as the benchmark index gained 0.55% to close at 72,299.26 points.

Investors interests in Tier 1 banks namely, ZENITHBANK (+2.54%), GTCO (+1.01%) and UBA (+3.45%) offset losses in DANGSUGAR (-0.61%), FLOURMILL (-4.57%) and UNILEVER (-2.01%). Consequently, the year-to-date (YTD) return rose to 41.07%, while market capitalization gained ₦214.80bn to close at ₦39.56trn.

Analysis of Wednesday’s market activities showed trade turnover settled higher relative to the previous session, with the value of transactions up by 37.40%. A total of 433.18m shares valued at ₦8.08bn were exchanged in 6,650 deals. ACCESSCORP (+8.09%) led the volume chart with 60.18m units traded while GTCO (+1.01) led the value chart in deals worth ₦1.96bn.

Market breadth closed positive at a 2.27-to-1 ratio with advancing issues outnumbering the declining ones.

SCOA (+9.88%) topped 33 others on the leader’s table while UPL (-9.82%) led 14 others on the laggard’s log.